{"generated_at":"2026-09-13T13:18:51.483353+00:00","generated_epoch":1789305531,"next_update_at":"2026-09-13T13:23:51.483353+00:00","location":{"name":"Zoetermeer","lat":52.0575,"lon":4.4931,"timezone":"Europe/Amsterdam"},"discussion":{"available":true,"generated_at":"2026-09-13T13:18:51.483353+00:00","periods":{"today":{"label":"Vandaag","text":"The 500 hPa height is 5765 m and rising 70 m over 24 hours, which is ridging building in; the 1000–500 hPa thickness is 5590 m, ruim boven de ~5400 m regen/sneeuw-grens; 850 hPa is at 9.5 °C on a WNW wind of 9 m/s. Pressure at the city is 1019 hPa, falling toward the N at 1.3 hPa per 100 km. Today reaches 20 °C with 3.4 mm of rain and gusts to 7 m/s; the models agree to 81% on that high. That is 1 °C above the 1991–2020 normal of 19.8 °C for this date, 0.2σ from the mean."},"tonight":{"label":"Vanavond en vannacht","text":"Tonight the blend bottoms out at 14 °C around 07:00; cloud cover averages 80% overnight, with 0.1 mm of rain. That is 11 °C clear of the 3 °C at which grass frost forms, so there is none in range."},"next_five_days":{"label":"De komende vijf dagen","text":"Highs run Monday 22 °C, Tuesday 22 °C with 0.6 mm, Wednesday 17 °C with 3.6 mm, Thursday 17 °C with 7.6 mm, Friday 17 °C with 8.8 mm. Thunderstorms are lokaal from woensdag middag, at 500 J/kg of CAPE against 2 m/s of 0–6 km shear. The models are furthest apart on 0–6 km windschering, spread 3 m/s against the 12 m/s at which agreement on it is worthless, with DWD ICON-EU the outlier at 21 m/s; by Friday they are 0.8 °C apart on the high, 78% confidence. Since the previous run de lifted index has come down 4.9 at the same valid times across the last 4 runs, nog aan het schommelen; run to run it holds to 2.5 while the models spread 0.7 in this one, so de modellen zijn het nog strakker eens dan de runs."}},"template":{"today":"The 500 hPa height is 5765 m and rising 70 m over 24 hours, which is ridging building in; the 1000–500 hPa thickness is 5590 m, ruim boven de ~5400 m regen/sneeuw-grens; 850 hPa is at 9.5 °C on a WNW wind of 9 m/s. Pressure at the city is 1019 hPa, falling toward the N at 1.3 hPa per 100 km. Today reaches 20 °C with 3.4 mm of rain and gusts to 7 m/s; the models agree to 81% on that high. That is 1 °C above the 1991–2020 normal of 19.8 °C for this date, 0.2σ from the mean.","tonight":"Tonight the blend bottoms out at 14 °C around 07:00; cloud cover averages 80% overnight, with 0.1 mm of rain. That is 11 °C clear of the 3 °C at which grass frost forms, so there is none in range.","next_five_days":"Highs run Monday 22 °C, Tuesday 22 °C with 0.6 mm, Wednesday 17 °C with 3.6 mm, Thursday 17 °C with 7.6 mm, Friday 17 °C with 8.8 mm. Thunderstorms are lokaal from woensdag middag, at 500 J/kg of CAPE against 2 m/s of 0–6 km shear. The models are furthest apart on 0–6 km windschering, spread 3 m/s against the 12 m/s at which agreement on it is worthless, with DWD ICON-EU the outlier at 21 m/s; by Friday they are 0.8 °C apart on the high, 78% confidence. Since the previous run de lifted index has come down 4.9 at the same valid times across the last 4 runs, nog aan het schommelen; run to run it holds to 2.5 while the models spread 0.7 in this one, so de modellen zijn het nog strakker eens dan de runs."},"phrased_by":"template","attribution":"Hier geschreven uit de berekende waarden; geen taalmodel betrokken.","facts":{"model_profiles":{"label":"models carrying a vertical profile","value":3.0,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"3","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"gh500_m":{"label":"500 hPa height","value":5765.0,"unit":"m","kind":"number","display":"5765 m","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"gh500_change_m":{"label":"500 hPa height change over 24 hours","value":70.0,"unit":"m","kind":"number","display":"70 m","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"gh500_change_window_h":{"label":"the window that change is measured over","value":24.0,"unit":"hours","kind":"number","display":"24 hours","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"gh500_direction":{"label":"which way 500 hPa heights are going","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"rising","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"gh500_trend":{"label":"what that height change means","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"ridging building in","source":"app.synoptic.GH500_FALL_M"},"thickness_m":{"label":"1000–500 hPa thickness","value":5590.0,"unit":"m","kind":"number","display":"5590 m","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"thickness_note":{"label":"where that thickness sits","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"ruim boven de ~5400 m regen/sneeuw-grens","source":"app.synoptic.thickness_note"},"temp_850_c":{"label":"850 hPa temperature","value":9.5,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"9.5 °C","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"wind_850_ms":{"label":"850 hPa wind speed","value":9.0,"unit":"m/s","kind":"number","display":"9 m/s","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"wind_850_from":{"label":"850 hPa wind direction","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"WNW","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"cape_now_jkg":{"label":"CAPE in the analysis profile","value":550,"unit":"J/kg","kind":"number","display":"550 J/kg","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"lifted_index_now":{"label":"lifted index in the analysis profile","value":-1.2,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"-1.2","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"shear_now_ms":{"label":"0–6 km shear in the analysis profile","value":18.0,"unit":"m/s","kind":"number","display":"18 m/s","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"split_variable":{"label":"the field the models disagree on most","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"0–6 km windschering","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"split_spread":{"label":"how far apart they are on it","value":3.0,"unit":"m/s","kind":"number","display":"3 m/s","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"split_ceiling":{"label":"the spread at which agreement on it is worthless","value":12.0,"unit":"m/s","kind":"number","display":"12 m/s","source":"app.synoptic.CONSENSUS_VARIABLES"},"split_confidence":{"label":"confidence in that field","value":74.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"74%","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"split_outlier":{"label":"the model furthest from that consensus","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"DWD ICON-EU","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"split_outlier_value":{"label":"what the outlier has","value":21.0,"unit":"m/s","kind":"number","display":"21 m/s","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"front_type":{"label":"the kind of front","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"warm","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"front_time":{"label":"when it crosses the city","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"time","display":"08:00","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"front_when":{"label":"the day and part of day it crosses","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"dinsdag ochtend","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"front_members":{"label":"models putting one there","value":1.0,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"1","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"front_of":{"label":"models with a ring at all","value":3.0,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"3","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"front_spread_h":{"label":"how far apart their timings are","value":0.0,"unit":"hours","kind":"number","display":"0 hours","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"front_alone":{"label":"the single model that has it","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"ECMWF IFS 0.25°","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"pressure_hpa":{"label":"surface pressure at the city","value":1019.0,"unit":"hPa","kind":"number","display":"1019 hPa","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring (DWD ICON-EU (7 km))"},"pressure_falls_toward":{"label":"which way pressure falls","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"N","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring (DWD ICON-EU (7 km))"},"pressure_gradient":{"label":"how fast it falls","value":1.3,"unit":"hPa","kind":"number","display":"1.3 hPa","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring (DWD ICON-EU (7 km))"},"pressure_gradient_span_km":{"label":"the distance that gradient is quoted over","value":100.0,"unit":"km","kind":"number","display":"100 km","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring (DWD ICON-EU (7 km))"},"today_high_c":{"label":"today's high","value":20.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"20 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"today_low_c":{"label":"today's low","value":17.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"17 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"today_rain_mm":{"label":"rain today","value":3.4,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"3.4 mm","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"today_gust_ms":{"label":"the strongest gust today","value":7.0,"unit":"m/s","kind":"number","display":"7 m/s","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"today_confidence":{"label":"how tightly the models agree on today","value":81.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"81%","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day1_name":{"label":"day 1 of the outlook","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"Monday","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day1_high_c":{"label":"Monday's high","value":22.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"22 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day1_low_c":{"label":"Monday's low","value":14.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"14 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day1_rain_mm":{"label":"rain on Monday","value":0.3,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"0.3 mm","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day1_confidence":{"label":"how tightly the models agree on Monday","value":74.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"74%","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day1_high_spread_c":{"label":"how far apart they are on Monday","value":0.8,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"0.8 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day2_name":{"label":"day 2 of the outlook","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"Tuesday","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day2_high_c":{"label":"Tuesday's high","value":22.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"22 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day2_low_c":{"label":"Tuesday's low","value":17.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"17 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day2_rain_mm":{"label":"rain on Tuesday","value":0.6,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"0.6 mm","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day2_confidence":{"label":"how tightly the models agree on Tuesday","value":77.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"77%","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day2_high_spread_c":{"label":"how far apart they are on Tuesday","value":1.3,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"1.3 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day3_name":{"label":"day 3 of the outlook","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"Wednesday","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day3_high_c":{"label":"Wednesday's high","value":17.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"17 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day3_low_c":{"label":"Wednesday's low","value":14.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"14 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day3_rain_mm":{"label":"rain on Wednesday","value":3.6,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"3.6 mm","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day3_confidence":{"label":"how tightly the models agree on Wednesday","value":85.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"85%","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day3_high_spread_c":{"label":"how far apart they are on Wednesday","value":0.5,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"0.5 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day4_name":{"label":"day 4 of the outlook","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"Thursday","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day4_high_c":{"label":"Thursday's high","value":17.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"17 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day4_low_c":{"label":"Thursday's low","value":12.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"12 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day4_rain_mm":{"label":"rain on Thursday","value":7.6,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"7.6 mm","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day4_confidence":{"label":"how tightly the models agree on Thursday","value":85.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"85%","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day4_high_spread_c":{"label":"how far apart they are on Thursday","value":0.7,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"0.7 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day5_name":{"label":"day 5 of the outlook","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"Friday","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day5_high_c":{"label":"Friday's high","value":17.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"17 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day5_low_c":{"label":"Friday's low","value":13.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"13 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day5_rain_mm":{"label":"rain on Friday","value":8.8,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"8.8 mm","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day5_confidence":{"label":"how tightly the models agree on Friday","value":78.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"78%","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day5_high_spread_c":{"label":"how far apart they are on Friday","value":0.8,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"0.8 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"outlook_days":{"label":"days in the outlook","value":5.0,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"5","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"tonight_min_c":{"label":"tonight's minimum","value":14.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"14 °C","source":"app.fusion hourly blend"},"tonight_min_time":{"label":"when it bottoms out","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"time","display":"07:00","source":"app.fusion hourly blend"},"tonight_cloud_pct":{"label":"average cloud cover overnight","value":80.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"80%","source":"app.fusion hourly blend"},"tonight_rain_mm":{"label":"rain overnight","value":0.1,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"0.1 mm","source":"app.fusion hourly blend"},"frost_grass_line_c":{"label":"the temperature grass frost forms at","value":3.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"3 °C","source":"app.fusion.FROST_GRASS_RISK_C"},"frost_margin_c":{"label":"how far tonight's minimum sits from that line","value":11.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"11 °C","source":"app.fusion hourly blend against app.fusion.FROST_GRASS_RISK_C"},"tropical_night_line_c":{"label":"the minimum that makes a tropical night","value":20.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"20 °C","source":"app.fusion.HEAT_TROPICAL_NIGHT_C"},"storm_severity":{"label":"how likely thunderstorms are","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"lokaal","source":"app.hazards"},"storm_when":{"label":"when instability crosses the threshold","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"woensdag middag","source":"app.hazards"},"storm_peak_time":{"label":"when it is worst","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"time","display":"14:00","source":"app.hazards"},"storm_trend":{"label":"which way it is going","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"stabiel","source":"app.hazards"},"storm_cape_jkg":{"label":"CAPE at the peak of that window","value":500,"unit":"J/kg","kind":"number","display":"500 J/kg","source":"app.hazards"},"storm_shear_ms":{"label":"0–6 km shear at that peak","value":2.0,"unit":"m/s","kind":"number","display":"2 m/s","source":"app.hazards"},"storm_li":{"label":"lifted index at that peak","value":-2.5,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"-2.5","source":"app.hazards"},"drift_variable":{"label":"what has moved most between runs","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"de lifted index","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_direction":{"label":"which way it moved","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"down","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_amount":{"label":"how far it moved between the newest and oldest run","value":4.9,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"4.9","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_runs":{"label":"runs compared at the same valid times","value":4.0,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"4","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_verdict":{"label":"how settled that story is","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"nog aan het schommelen","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_run_to_run":{"label":"run-to-run spread on it","value":2.5,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"2.5","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_cross_model":{"label":"cross-model spread on it in this run","value":0.7,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"0.7","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_which_signal":{"label":"which of the two signals is firmer","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"de modellen zijn het nog strakker eens dan de runs","source":"app.consistency"},"anomaly_c":{"label":"how far today sits from the normal","value":1.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"1 °C","source":"app.history, De Bilt (260), the national reference series"},"anomaly_side":{"label":"which side of the normal that is","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"above","source":"app.history, De Bilt (260), the national reference series"},"normal_high_c":{"label":"the normal high for this date","value":19.8,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"19.8 °C","source":"app.history, De Bilt (260), the national reference series"},"normal_period":{"label":"the period the normal is taken over","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"1991–2020","source":"app.history, De Bilt (260), the national reference series"},"anomaly_sigma":{"label":"how many standard deviations that is","value":0.2,"unit":"σ","kind":"number","display":"0.2σ","source":"app.history, De Bilt (260), the national reference series"}},"fact_count":94,"licensed_hazards":["frost","thunder"],"digest":"566ba2a36690b981","method":"Een platte payload met waarden die elders in deze applicatie zijn berekend — de consensus van de hogere luchtlagen, de frontanalyse, de risicovensters, de dagelijkse blend, het contrast tussen runs en de normalen van De Bilt — elk met zijn eenheid en de module die het produceerde. De toelichting wordt bij elke herbouw uit die payload geschreven door een deterministisch sjabloon. Waar een Mistral-sleutel is geconfigureerd, worden dezelfde payload en dat concept naar Mistral gestuurd om te herformuleren, en het antwoord wordt alleen geaccepteerd als elk cijfer erin overeenkomt met een payloadwaarde en elk risicowoord er een is dat de payload toestaat; anders blijft het sjabloon staan. Het model wordt pas opnieuw gevraagd wanneer de hash van de payload verandert, en hooguit eens per 15 minuten.","dutch":{"label":"De verwachting voor Zoetermeer","attribution":"Nederlandse tekst van Mistral (mistral-small-latest); alle cijfers zijn hier berekend en zijn vóór publicatie tegen de payload gecontroleerd.","available":false,"model_status":"het Nederlandse antwoord is geweigerd","rejected":["today: names snow, which the English does not"]},"model_status":"het antwoord van het model is geweigerd","rejected":["today: says 'snow' with nothing computed to license it","today: gives the figure 5400, which matches no computed value"]},"plain_forecast":{"available":true,"generated_at":"2026-09-13T13:18:51.483353+00:00","method":"Eerst hier geschreven uit de eigen gemengde verwachting van deze site — dezelfde getallen die in de panelen staan — door een deterministisch sjabloon. Waar een Mistral-sleutel is geconfigureerd, wordt dat concept naar Mistral gestuurd om er een lopend publieksbericht van te maken, in de toon waarin een weerdienst het publiek toespreekt. Het antwoord wordt alleen geplaatst als het geen cijfer, gevaar, weekdag of tijdstip toevoegt dat het sjabloon niet al noemt; anders blijft het sjabloon staan.","attribution":"Verwoord als publieksbericht door Mistral (mistral-small-latest); de inhoud komt uit de gemengde nationale modellen en de KNMI-radar-nowcast, en elk cijfer, gevaar en tijdstip is vóór publicatie tegen het sjabloon gecontroleerd. Geen consumentendienst voedt deze.","phrased_by":"mistral","title":{"en":"The weather in Zoetermeer, in plain words","nl":"Het weer in Zoetermeer, gewoon in het kort"},"paragraphs":{"en":["Right now it’s a pleasant 20°, and it stays dry for the next couple of hours. The afternoon turns a bit changeable, but it stays warm at around 20°. The evening keeps the same vibe—changeable skies but still nice at around 20°. Overnight it cools down slightly to a comfortable 16°. Tomorrow starts off changeable too, with highs around 19°, but the days ahead will feel a bit fresher, dropping towards 17°."],"nl":["Het is nu een aangename 20° en het blijft de komende twee uur droog. De middag wordt wat wisselvallig, maar het blijft warm rond de 20°. De avond houdt die sfeer vast: wisselvallig, maar nog steeds prettig rond de 20°. ’s Nachts koelt het iets af naar een comfortabele 16°. Morgen begint het ook wisselvallig, met maxima rond de 19°, maar de dagen erna voelt het wat frisser aan, richting 17°."]},"text":{"en":"Right now it’s a pleasant 20°, and it stays dry for the next couple of hours. The afternoon turns a bit changeable, but it stays warm at around 20°. The evening keeps the same vibe—changeable skies but still nice at around 20°. Overnight it cools down slightly to a comfortable 16°. Tomorrow starts off changeable too, with highs around 19°, but the days ahead will feel a bit fresher, dropping towards 17°.","nl":"Het is nu een aangename 20° en het blijft de komende twee uur droog. De middag wordt wat wisselvallig, maar het blijft warm rond de 20°. De avond houdt die sfeer vast: wisselvallig, maar nog steeds prettig rond de 20°. ’s Nachts koelt het iets af naar een comfortabele 16°. Morgen begint het ook wisselvallig, met maxima rond de 19°, maar de dagen erna voelt het wat frisser aan, richting 17°."},"covers":{"today_blocks":2,"tomorrow_blocks":2,"outlook_days":8},"model_status":"tegen het sjabloon gecontroleerd en geaccepteerd"},"current":{"temperature":20.4,"humidity":82.0,"dew_point":17.3,"wind_speed":3.79,"wind_gust":5.44,"wind_direction":304.8,"pressure_msl":1020.95,"visibility":41800.0,"cloud_cover":100,"rain_1h":0.0,"rain_24h":15.062,"sunshine_minutes":9.79874,"solar_radiation":481.0,"temp_grass":21.7,"weather_code":2.0,"observed_at":"2026-09-13T13:00:00Z","weather_text":"half bewolkt","rain_rate_radar":0.0,"cloud_base":414.5722,"feels_like":20.2,"beaufort":3,"wind_compass":"NW","visibility_km":41.8,"cloud_cover_okta":8.0,"european_aqi":15.0,"city_temperature":21.0,"city_stations":333,"heat_island":0.6,"sources":{"temperature":"KNMI Voorschoten (9.9 km)","humidity":"KNMI Voorschoten (9.9 km)","dew_point":"KNMI Voorschoten (9.9 km)","wind_speed":"KNMI 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AIFS","valid_at":1789322400,"valid_iso":"2026-09-13T18:00:00Z","step_hours":12,"variable":"gh_500","series":[{"run":"20260913T06:00Z","value":5790.1},{"run":"20260912T18:00Z","value":5788.7}],"runs":2,"spread":0.99,"drift":1.4},{"model":"ecmwf_ifs","label":"ECMWF IFS","valid_at":1789344000,"valid_iso":"2026-09-14T00:00:00Z","step_hours":24,"variable":"gh_500","series":[{"run":"20260913T00:00Z","value":5827.5},{"run":"20260912T18:00Z","value":5824.3},{"run":"20260912T12:00Z","value":5823.5},{"run":"20260912T06:00Z","value":5824.1}],"runs":4,"spread":1.8,"drift":3.4},{"model":"ecmwf_ifs","label":"ECMWF IFS","valid_at":1789365600,"valid_iso":"2026-09-14T06:00:00Z","step_hours":30,"variable":"gh_500","series":[{"run":"20260913T00:00Z","value":5844.3},{"run":"20260912T18:00Z","value":5841.5},{"run":"20260912T12:00Z","value":5839.4},{"run":"20260912T06:00Z","value":5837.4}],"runs":4,"spread":2.95,"drift":6.9},{"model":"ecmwf_ifs","label":"ECMWF IFS","valid_at":1789387200,"valid_iso":"2026-09-14T12:00:00Z","step_hours":36,"variable":"gh_500","series":[{"run":"20260913T00:00Z","value":5869.9},{"run":"20260912T18:00Z","value":5864.8},{"run":"20260912T12:00Z","value":5862.1},{"run":"20260912T06:00Z","value":5862.7}],"runs":4,"spread":3.54,"drift":7.2},{"model":"ecmwf_ifs","label":"ECMWF IFS","valid_at":1789408800,"valid_iso":"2026-09-14T18:00:00Z","step_hours":42,"variable":"gh_500","series":[{"run":"20260913T00:00Z","value":5863.1},{"run":"20260912T18:00Z","value":5858.3},{"run":"20260912T12:00Z","value":5856.5},{"run":"20260912T06:00Z","value":5855.0}],"runs":4,"spread":3.52,"drift":8.1},{"model":"ecmwf_ifs","label":"ECMWF 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IFS","valid_at":1789516800,"valid_iso":"2026-09-16T00:00:00Z","step_hours":72,"variable":"gh_500","series":[{"run":"20260913T00:00Z","value":5655.4},{"run":"20260912T18:00Z","value":5653.5},{"run":"20260912T12:00Z","value":5660.4},{"run":"20260912T06:00Z","value":5666.4}],"runs":4,"spread":5.77,"drift":-11.0},{"model":"ecmwf_ifs","label":"ECMWF IFS","valid_at":1789538400,"valid_iso":"2026-09-16T06:00:00Z","step_hours":78,"variable":"gh_500","series":[{"run":"20260913T00:00Z","value":5608.8},{"run":"20260912T18:00Z","value":5602.8},{"run":"20260912T12:00Z","value":5607.5},{"run":"20260912T06:00Z","value":5619.6}],"runs":4,"spread":7.1,"drift":-10.8},{"model":"ecmwf_ifs","label":"ECMWF IFS","valid_at":1789560000,"valid_iso":"2026-09-16T12:00:00Z","step_hours":84,"variable":"gh_500","series":[{"run":"20260913T00:00Z","value":5610.8},{"run":"20260912T18:00Z","value":5600.2},{"run":"20260912T12:00Z","value":5603.6}],"runs":3,"spread":5.41,"drift":7.2},{"model":"ecmwf_ifs","label":"ECMWF IFS","valid_at":1789581600,"valid_iso":"2026-09-16T18:00:00Z","step_hours":90,"variable":"gh_500","series":[{"run":"20260913T00:00Z","value":5633.5},{"run":"20260912T18:00Z","value":5595.9}],"runs":2,"spread":26.59,"drift":37.6}]}},"headline":"CAPE bleef binnen ±113 J/kg over de laatste 4 runs terwijl de modellen deze run ±269 J/kg uiteenliggen — het verhaal tussen runs is het stevigere signaal. 500 hPa hoogte bleef binnen ±6 m over de laatste 4 runs terwijl de modellen deze run ±2 m uiteenliggen — de modellen zijn het nog strakker eens dan de runs.","method":"De CAPE, CIN, lifted index, dikte, 500 hPa hoogte en 850 hPa temperatuur van elke modelrun worden vastgelegd tegen de eigen runstempel van het model. Voor elke geldigheidstijd die de nieuwste run nog dekt, worden zijn opeenvolgende runs vergeleken (spreiding tussen runs) en naast de onderlinge verschillen van de modellen binnen deze ene run gezet (spreiding tussen modellen). Verschillende signalen, naast elkaar getoond."},"indices":{"pollen":{"species":[{"name":"els","grains_m3":0.0,"band":"geen"},{"name":"berk","grains_m3":0.0,"band":"geen"},{"name":"gras","grains_m3":0.0,"band":"geen"},{"name":"bijvoet","grains_m3":0.0,"band":"geen"},{"name":"olijf","grains_m3":0.0,"band":"geen"},{"name":"ambrosia","grains_m3":0.0,"band":"geen"}],"worst":null,"band":"geen"},"air_quality":{"european_aqi":15.0,"band":"goed","pm2_5":2.47,"pm10":3.232,"no2":11.915,"ozone":36.515},"uv":{"now":1.59,"peak_today":1.9,"band":"laag","burn_minutes_type2":42},"thunderstorm":{"level":1,"text":"Wat instabiliteit; een lokale bui is mogelijk.","official_warning":null,"peak_cape":535.0,"cape_source":"computed","cape_computed":535.0,"mu_cape":843.0,"cin":0.0,"lifted_index":-1.2,"shear_0_6km":18.0,"lightning_potential":0.0,"strikes_last_hour":0,"strikes_within_25km":0,"nearest_strike":null},"frost":{"air_min_24h":14.5,"grass_now":21.7,"risk":false,"air_frost":false},"heat":{"max_24h":21.7,"tropical_night":false,"heat_stress":false},"laundry":{"verdict":"nee","band":"no"},"cycling":{"verdict":"ja","band":"good"},"comfort":"aangenaam","aurora":{"possible":false}},"activities":{"available":true,"activities":[{"key":"barbecue","label":"Barbecueën","band":"good","score":0.79,"verdict":"nu goed","limited_by":"windstoten 6 m/s","best_band":"good","best_score":1.0,"window":{"from":"16:00","to":"16:00","day":"zondag","hours":24,"starts_in_hours":1},"window_hours":24,"daylight_only":false,"method":"droog, weinig wind en 14 °C of beter; houtskool en windstoten gaan niet samen, dus 5 m/s telt al tegen"},{"key":"fishing","label":"Vissen","band":"good","score":0.99,"verdict":"nu goed","limited_by":"regen 0.1 mm/u","best_band":"good","best_score":1.0,"window":{"from":"16:00","to":"16:00","day":"zondag","hours":24,"starts_in_hours":1},"window_hours":24,"daylight_only":false,"method":"eerst wind, dan regen: een dobber in golfslag is onleesbaar"},{"key":"walking","label":"Wandelen","band":"good","score":0.98,"verdict":"nu goed","limited_by":"regen 0.1 mm/u","best_band":"good","best_score":1.0,"window":{"from":"16:00","to":"16:00","day":"zondag","hours":24,"starts_in_hours":1},"window_hours":24,"daylight_only":false,"method":"regen en windstoten, afgezet tegen de gevoelstemperatuur in plaats van wat de thermometer zegt"},{"key":"running","label":"Hardlopen","band":"fair","score":0.66,"verdict":"nu werkbaar","limited_by":"voelt als 21 °C","best_band":"good","best_score":1.0,"window":{"from":"16:00","to":"14:00","day":"zondag","hours":22,"starts_in_hours":1},"window_hours":24,"daylight_only":false,"method":"hitte is de grens die pijn doet, en vochtige lucht haalt die naar voren: het comfortabele plafond zakt 4 °C bij 100% luchtvochtigheid"},{"key":"terrace","label":"Terras","band":"poor","score":0.29,"verdict":"nu slecht — bewolking 79%","limited_by":"bewolking 79%","best_band":"fair","best_score":0.64,"window":{"from":"19:00","to":"21:00","day":"zondag","hours":2,"starts_in_hours":4},"window_hours":24,"daylight_only":true,"method":"de enige die zon nodig heeft in plaats van afwezigheid ervan slechts te verdragen: bewolking telt, en beschutting tegen wind ook"},{"key":"sailing","label":"Zeilen","band":"good","score":0.99,"verdict":"nu goed","limited_by":"regen 0.1 mm/u","best_band":"good","best_score":1.0,"window":{"from":"09:00","to":"16:00","day":"maandag","hours":7,"starts_in_hours":18},"window_hours":24,"daylight_only":true,"method":"Beaufort 3 tot 5 is het venster; windstilte scoort net zo slecht als harde wind, en windstoten laten je omslaan"},{"key":"skating","label":"Schaatsen","band":"no","verdict":"lang niet genoeg vorst","freezing_degree_days":0.0,"hours_below_zero":0,"coldest":12.8,"horizon_hours":120,"method":"vriesgraaddagen opgeteld over de komende 5 dagen van de blend; 1 voordat er iets vormt, 15 voordat het draagt"}],"method":"Elk uur van de blend krijgt een cijfer van één tegen benoemde drempels, en een activiteit neemt het slechtste van zijn grenzen in plaats van het gemiddelde ervan — een warme, droge, zonnige storm is niet driekwart van een goede middag. De beoordeling is dit uur; het venster is de langste reeks uren die een halve score haalt. Schaatsen wordt in plaats daarvan op vriesgraaddagen beoordeeld, omdat ijs een opeenstapeling is en geen toestand."},"hazard_timeline":{"available":true,"generated_at":"2026-09-13T13:18:51.483353+00:00","hazards":{"thunderstorm":{"windows":[{"onset":"2026-09-16T12:00:00Z","onset_after":"2026-09-16T06:00:00Z","peak":"2026-09-16T12:00:00Z","end":"2026-09-16T12:00:00Z","open_ended":false,"severity":"lokaal","trend":"stabiel","steps":1,"headline":"CAPE 514 J/kg met 2 m/s windschering, lifted index -2.5","peak_values":{"cape_jkg":514.0,"mu_cape_jkg":514.0,"shear_0_6km_ms":1.6,"lifted_index":-2.5,"members":1}}],"through":"2026-09-17T00:00:00Z","steps":14,"method":"CAPE, 0–6 km windschering en de lifted index, gemiddeld over de modellen die op elke stap een profiel hebben, geclassificeerd met de onweerdrempels van app.fusion: lokaal bij CAPE > 500 J/kg of LI ≤ -2, aannemelijk bij > 1200 J/kg of LI ≤ -4, georganiseerd wanneer de windschering ook 15 m/s bereikt."},"frost":{"windows":[],"through":"2026-09-23T13:00:00Z","method":"Gemengde 2 m uurtemperatuur. Kans op grondvorst op of onder 3 °C (gras koelt een paar graden onder de lucht af), luchtvorst op of onder 0 °C."},"heat":{"windows":[],"through":"2026-09-23T13:00:00Z","method":"Gemengde 2 m uurtemperatuur en luchtvochtigheid. Heet op of boven 27 °C; hittestress wanneer de relatieve luchtvochtigheid ook boven 60% is. Een venster wordt gemarkeerd voor een tropische nacht wanneer de volgende nacht op of boven 20 °C blijft."}},"headline":"Instabiliteit houdt aan woensdag middag — CAPE 514 J/kg met 2 m/s windschering, lifted index -2.5. Geen vorst binnen bereik. Geen dagen met hittestress binnen bereik.","method":"Per risico een lijst vensters met begin, piek, einde, ernst en de waarde die de drempel overschreed. Drempels zijn dezelfde benoemde constanten die de nu-beoordeling gebruikt (app.fusion). Instabiliteit is app.thermo uitgevoerd op elke profielstap die de ECMWF-, GFS- en ICON-runs publiceerden, niet alleen de analyse; vorst en hitte draaien op de gemengde 2 m uurtemperatuur. 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1304 UTC\n\nYesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1391 pfu\nMax time: 2026 Sep 11 0455 UTC","product":"EF3A"},{"issued":"2026-09-11 00:45:33.580","message":"Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3\r\nSerial Number: 3740\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Sep 11 0045 UTC\r\n\r\nCONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1,000pfu\nContinuation of Serial Number: 3739\nBegin Time: 2026 Sep 10 1304 UTC\n\nYesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 3080 pfu\nMax time: 2026 Sep 10 1745 UTC","product":"EF3A"},{"issued":"2026-09-10 13:06:18.310","message":"Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3\r\nSerial Number: 3739\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Sep 10 1306 UTC\r\n\r\nALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1,000pfu \nThreshold Reached: 2026 Sep 10 1304 UTC\nStation: GOES-19\nComment: Yesterday's max: 1037 pfu","product":"EF3A"},{"issued":"2026-09-09 21:01:32.307","message":"Space Weather Message Code: WATA30\r\nSerial Number: 282\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Sep 09 2101 UTC\r\n\r\nCANCEL WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted \nCancel Serial Number: 281\nOriginal Issue Time: 2026 Sep 08 1702 UTC\nCancelled Level Predicted:\nSep 08  : None (Bellow G1)  Sep 09  : None (Bellow G1)  Sep 10  : None (Bellow G1)  \nConditions no longer warrant watch criteria.\r\n\r\nNOAA Space Weather Scale ","product":"A30F"},{"issued":"2026-09-09 05:38:36.473","message":"Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3\r\nSerial Number: 3738\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Sep 09 0538 UTC\r\n\r\nCONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1,000pfu\nContinuation of Serial Number: 3738\nBegin Time: 2026 Sep 08 1550 UTC\nYesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1003 pfu\nCORRECTED","product":"EF3A"},{"issued":"2026-09-09 05:35:37.773","message":"Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3\r\nSerial Number: 3738\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Sep 09 0535 UTC\r\n\r\nCONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1,000pfu\nContinuation of Serial Number: 3737\nBegin Time: 2026 Sep 08 1550 UTC\n\nYesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1540 pfu\nMax time: 2026 Sep 09 0145 UTC","product":"EF3A"},{"issued":"2026-09-08 17:51:10.343","message":"Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05\r\nSerial Number: 2049\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Sep 08 1751 UTC\r\n\r\nALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 \nThreshold Reached: 2026 Sep 08 1744 UTC\nSynoptic Period: 1500-1800\nActive Warning: YES\nNoaa Scale: G1 - Minor\nComment: \r\n\r\nNOAA Scale: G1 - Minor\r\n\r\nNOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at\r\nwww.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation\r\n\r\nPotential Impacts: Area o","product":"K05A"},{"issued":"2026-09-08 17:30:02.647","message":"Space Weather Message Code: WARK04\r\nSerial Number: 5415\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Sep 08 1730 UTC\r\n\r\nEXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected\nExtension to Serial Number: 5414\nValid From: 2026 Sep 07 0854 UTC\nNow Valid Until: 2026 Sep 09 0900 UTC\nWarning Condition: Persistence\n\r\n\r\nNOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at\r\nwww.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation\r\n\r\nPotential Impact","product":"K04W"},{"issued":"2026-09-08 17:27:15.710","message":"Space Weather Message Code: WARK05\r\nSerial Number: 2264\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Sep 08 1727 UTC\r\n\r\nEXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected\nExtension to Serial Number: 2263\nValid From: 2026 Sep 07 2000 UTC\nNow Valid Until: 2026 Sep 08 2359 UTC\nWarning Condition: Persistence\n\r\n\r\nNOAA Scale: G1 - Minor\r\n\r\nNOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at\r\nwww.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-expla","product":"K05W"},{"issued":"2026-09-08 17:02:16.717","message":"Space Weather Message Code: WATA30\r\nSerial Number: 281\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Sep 08 1702 UTC\r\n\r\nWATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted \nHighest Storm Level Predicted by Day:\nSep 08:  G1 (Minor)   Sep 09:  G2 (Moderate)   Sep 10:  None (Below G1)   \nTHIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT\nComment: \r\n\r\nNOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at\r\nwww.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-e","product":"A30F"}],"source":"NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center"},"lightning":{"connected":true,"last_message_age":2.465496301651001,"radius_km":250.0,"strikes_last_hour":0,"strikes_last_15min":0,"strikes_within_25km":0,"nearest":null,"dominant_direction":null,"sector_counts":{},"recent":[],"total_seen_worldwide":26838,"errors":["ws3: SSLCertVerificationError: [SSL: CERTIFICATE_VERIFY_FAILED] certificate verify failed: Hostname mismatch, certificate is not valid for 'ws3.blitzortung.org'. (_ssl.c:1010)","ws3: SSLCertVerificationError: [SSL: CERTIFICATE_VERIFY_FAILED] certificate verify failed: Hostname mismatch, certificate is not valid for 'ws3.blitzortung.org'. (_ssl.c:1010)","ws3: SSLCertVerificationError: [SSL: CERTIFICATE_VERIFY_FAILED] certificate verify failed: Hostname mismatch, certificate is not valid for 'ws3.blitzortung.org'. 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