{"generated_at":"2026-11-03T14:14:12.679238+00:00","generated_epoch":1793715252,"next_update_at":"2026-11-03T14:19:12.679238+00:00","location":{"name":"Zoetermeer","lat":52.0575,"lon":4.4931,"timezone":"Europe/Amsterdam"},"discussion":{"available":true,"generated_at":"2026-11-03T14:14:12.679238+00:00","periods":{"today":{"label":"Vandaag","text":"The 500 hPa height is 5659 m and rising 27 m over 24 hours, which is ridging building in; the 1000–500 hPa thickness is 5403 m, nabij de ~5400 m regen/sneeuw-grens; 850 hPa is at 0.0 °C on a ENE wind of 12 m/s. Pressure at the city is 1031 hPa, falling toward the SSE at 1.4 hPa per 100 km. Today reaches 10 °C with 0.1 mm of rain and gusts to 10 m/s; the models agree to 83% on that high. That is 2 °C below the 1991–2020 normal of 12.2 °C for this date, 0.6σ from the mean."},"tonight":{"label":"Vanavond en vannacht","text":"Tonight the blend bottoms out at 5 °C around 05:00; cloud cover averages 26% overnight, with 0.0 mm of rain. That is 2 °C clear of the 3 °C at which grass frost forms, so there is none in range."},"next_five_days":{"label":"De komende vijf dagen","text":"Highs run Wednesday 10 °C, Thursday 8 °C, Friday 7 °C, Saturday 6 °C, Sunday 10 °C. Kans op grondvorst arrives vrijdag nacht, 3 °C at its lowest. The models are furthest apart on de lifted index, spread 0.5 against the 4.0 at which agreement on it is worthless, with ECMWF IFS the outlier at 6.3; by Sunday they are 0.4 °C apart on the high, 83% confidence. Since the previous run de lifted index has come up 0.9 at the same valid times across the last 4 runs, vastgezet; run to run it holds to 0.6 while the models spread 0.5 in this one, so de modellen zijn het nog strakker eens dan de runs."}},"template":{"today":"The 500 hPa height is 5659 m and rising 27 m over 24 hours, which is ridging building in; the 1000–500 hPa thickness is 5403 m, nabij de ~5400 m regen/sneeuw-grens; 850 hPa is at 0.0 °C on a ENE wind of 12 m/s. Pressure at the city is 1031 hPa, falling toward the SSE at 1.4 hPa per 100 km. Today reaches 10 °C with 0.1 mm of rain and gusts to 10 m/s; the models agree to 83% on that high. That is 2 °C below the 1991–2020 normal of 12.2 °C for this date, 0.6σ from the mean.","tonight":"Tonight the blend bottoms out at 5 °C around 05:00; cloud cover averages 26% overnight, with 0.0 mm of rain. That is 2 °C clear of the 3 °C at which grass frost forms, so there is none in range.","next_five_days":"Highs run Wednesday 10 °C, Thursday 8 °C, Friday 7 °C, Saturday 6 °C, Sunday 10 °C. Kans op grondvorst arrives vrijdag nacht, 3 °C at its lowest. The models are furthest apart on de lifted index, spread 0.5 against the 4.0 at which agreement on it is worthless, with ECMWF IFS the outlier at 6.3; by Sunday they are 0.4 °C apart on the high, 83% confidence. Since the previous run de lifted index has come up 0.9 at the same valid times across the last 4 runs, vastgezet; run to run it holds to 0.6 while the models spread 0.5 in this one, so de modellen zijn het nog strakker eens dan de runs."},"phrased_by":"template","attribution":"Hier geschreven uit de berekende waarden; geen taalmodel betrokken.","facts":{"model_profiles":{"label":"models carrying a vertical profile","value":3.0,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"3","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"gh500_m":{"label":"500 hPa height","value":5659.0,"unit":"m","kind":"number","display":"5659 m","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"gh500_change_m":{"label":"500 hPa height change over 24 hours","value":27.0,"unit":"m","kind":"number","display":"27 m","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"gh500_change_window_h":{"label":"the window that change is measured over","value":24.0,"unit":"hours","kind":"number","display":"24 hours","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"gh500_direction":{"label":"which way 500 hPa heights are going","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"rising","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"gh500_trend":{"label":"what that height change means","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"ridging building in","source":"app.synoptic.GH500_FALL_M"},"thickness_m":{"label":"1000–500 hPa thickness","value":5403.0,"unit":"m","kind":"number","display":"5403 m","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"thickness_note":{"label":"where that thickness sits","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"nabij de ~5400 m regen/sneeuw-grens","source":"app.synoptic.thickness_note"},"temp_850_c":{"label":"850 hPa temperature","value":0.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"0.0 °C","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"wind_850_ms":{"label":"850 hPa wind speed","value":12.0,"unit":"m/s","kind":"number","display":"12 m/s","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"wind_850_from":{"label":"850 hPa wind direction","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"ENE","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"cape_now_jkg":{"label":"CAPE in the analysis profile","value":50,"unit":"J/kg","kind":"number","display":"50 J/kg","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"lifted_index_now":{"label":"lifted index in the analysis profile","value":6.9,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"+6.9","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"shear_now_ms":{"label":"0–6 km shear in the analysis profile","value":8.0,"unit":"m/s","kind":"number","display":"8 m/s","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"split_variable":{"label":"the field the models disagree on most","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"de lifted index","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"split_spread":{"label":"how far apart they are on it","value":0.5,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"0.5","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"split_ceiling":{"label":"the spread at which agreement on it is worthless","value":4.0,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"4.0","source":"app.synoptic.CONSENSUS_VARIABLES"},"split_confidence":{"label":"confidence in that field","value":87.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"87%","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"split_outlier":{"label":"the model furthest from that consensus","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"ECMWF IFS","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"split_outlier_value":{"label":"what the outlier has","value":6.3,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"6.3","source":"app.synoptic, 3 model profiles"},"front_type":{"label":"the kind of front","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"warm","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"front_time":{"label":"when it crosses the city","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"time","display":"07:00","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"front_when":{"label":"the day and part of day it crosses","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"donderdag ochtend","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"front_members":{"label":"models putting one there","value":1.0,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"1","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"front_of":{"label":"models with a ring at all","value":3.0,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"3","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"front_spread_h":{"label":"how far apart their timings are","value":0.0,"unit":"hours","kind":"number","display":"0 hours","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"front_alone":{"label":"the single model that has it","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"ECMWF IFS 0.25°","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring"},"pressure_hpa":{"label":"surface pressure at the city","value":1031.0,"unit":"hPa","kind":"number","display":"1031 hPa","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring (DWD ICON-EU (7 km))"},"pressure_falls_toward":{"label":"which way pressure falls","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"SSE","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring (DWD ICON-EU (7 km))"},"pressure_gradient":{"label":"how fast it falls","value":1.4,"unit":"hPa","kind":"number","display":"1.4 hPa","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring (DWD ICON-EU (7 km))"},"pressure_gradient_span_km":{"label":"the distance that gradient is quoted over","value":100.0,"unit":"km","kind":"number","display":"100 km","source":"app.fronts, a 75 km ring (DWD ICON-EU (7 km))"},"today_high_c":{"label":"today's high","value":10.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"10 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"today_low_c":{"label":"today's low","value":6.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"6 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"today_rain_mm":{"label":"rain today","value":0.1,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"0.1 mm","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"today_gust_ms":{"label":"the strongest gust today","value":10.0,"unit":"m/s","kind":"number","display":"10 m/s","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"today_confidence":{"label":"how tightly the models agree on today","value":83.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"83%","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day1_name":{"label":"day 1 of the outlook","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"Wednesday","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day1_high_c":{"label":"Wednesday's high","value":10.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"10 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day1_low_c":{"label":"Wednesday's low","value":5.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"5 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day1_rain_mm":{"label":"rain on Wednesday","value":0.0,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"0.0 mm","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day1_confidence":{"label":"how tightly the models agree on Wednesday","value":81.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"81%","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day1_high_spread_c":{"label":"how far apart they are on Wednesday","value":0.6,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"0.6 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day2_name":{"label":"day 2 of the outlook","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"Thursday","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day2_high_c":{"label":"Thursday's high","value":8.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"8 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day2_low_c":{"label":"Thursday's low","value":4.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"4 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day2_rain_mm":{"label":"rain on Thursday","value":0.0,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"0.0 mm","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day2_confidence":{"label":"how tightly the models agree on Thursday","value":75.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"75%","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day2_high_spread_c":{"label":"how far apart they are on Thursday","value":1.2,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"1.2 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day3_name":{"label":"day 3 of the outlook","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"Friday","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day3_high_c":{"label":"Friday's high","value":7.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"7 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day3_low_c":{"label":"Friday's low","value":3.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"3 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day3_rain_mm":{"label":"rain on Friday","value":0.0,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"0.0 mm","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day3_confidence":{"label":"how tightly the models agree on Friday","value":69.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"69%","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day3_high_spread_c":{"label":"how far apart they are on Friday","value":1.5,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"1.5 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day4_name":{"label":"day 4 of the outlook","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"Saturday","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day4_high_c":{"label":"Saturday's high","value":6.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"6 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day4_low_c":{"label":"Saturday's low","value":1.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"1 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day4_rain_mm":{"label":"rain on Saturday","value":0.0,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"0.0 mm","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day4_confidence":{"label":"how tightly the models agree on Saturday","value":84.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"84%","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day4_high_spread_c":{"label":"how far apart they are on Saturday","value":0.7,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"0.7 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day5_name":{"label":"day 5 of the outlook","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"Sunday","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day5_high_c":{"label":"Sunday's high","value":10.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"10 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day5_low_c":{"label":"Sunday's low","value":4.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"4 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day5_rain_mm":{"label":"rain on Sunday","value":0.0,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"0.0 mm","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day5_confidence":{"label":"how tightly the models agree on Sunday","value":83.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"83%","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"day5_high_spread_c":{"label":"how far apart they are on Sunday","value":0.4,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"0.4 °C","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"outlook_days":{"label":"days in the outlook","value":5.0,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"5","source":"app.fusion daily blend"},"tonight_min_c":{"label":"tonight's minimum","value":5.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"5 °C","source":"app.fusion hourly blend"},"tonight_min_time":{"label":"when it bottoms out","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"time","display":"05:00","source":"app.fusion hourly blend"},"tonight_cloud_pct":{"label":"average cloud cover overnight","value":26.0,"unit":"%","kind":"number","display":"26%","source":"app.fusion hourly blend"},"tonight_rain_mm":{"label":"rain overnight","value":0.0,"unit":"mm","kind":"number","display":"0.0 mm","source":"app.fusion hourly blend"},"frost_grass_line_c":{"label":"the temperature grass frost forms at","value":3.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"3 °C","source":"app.fusion.FROST_GRASS_RISK_C"},"frost_margin_c":{"label":"how far tonight's minimum sits from that line","value":2.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"2 °C","source":"app.fusion hourly blend against app.fusion.FROST_GRASS_RISK_C"},"tropical_night_line_c":{"label":"the minimum that makes a tropical night","value":20.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"20 °C","source":"app.fusion.HEAT_TROPICAL_NIGHT_C"},"frost_severity":{"label":"how hard the frost is","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"kans op grondvorst","source":"app.hazards"},"frost_when":{"label":"when frost arrives","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"vrijdag nacht","source":"app.hazards"},"frost_low_c":{"label":"the lowest temperature in that window","value":3.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"3 °C","source":"app.hazards"},"drift_variable":{"label":"what has moved most between runs","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"de lifted index","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_direction":{"label":"which way it moved","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"up","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_amount":{"label":"how far it moved between the newest and oldest run","value":0.9,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"0.9","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_runs":{"label":"runs compared at the same valid times","value":4.0,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"4","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_verdict":{"label":"how settled that story is","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"vastgezet","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_run_to_run":{"label":"run-to-run spread on it","value":0.6,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"0.6","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_cross_model":{"label":"cross-model spread on it in this run","value":0.5,"unit":"","kind":"number","display":"0.5","source":"app.consistency"},"drift_which_signal":{"label":"which of the two signals is firmer","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"de modellen zijn het nog strakker eens dan de runs","source":"app.consistency"},"anomaly_c":{"label":"how far today sits from the normal","value":2.0,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"2 °C","source":"app.history, De Bilt (260), the national reference series"},"anomaly_side":{"label":"which side of the normal that is","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"below","source":"app.history, De Bilt (260), the national reference series"},"normal_high_c":{"label":"the normal high for this date","value":12.2,"unit":"°C","kind":"number","display":"12.2 °C","source":"app.history, De Bilt (260), the national reference series"},"normal_period":{"label":"the period the normal is taken over","value":null,"unit":"","kind":"text","display":"1991–2020","source":"app.history, De Bilt (260), the national reference series"},"anomaly_sigma":{"label":"how many standard deviations that is","value":0.6,"unit":"σ","kind":"number","display":"0.6σ","source":"app.history, De Bilt (260), the national reference series"}},"fact_count":90,"licensed_hazards":["frost"],"digest":"0626ddb4d1e56a9b","method":"Een platte payload met waarden die elders in deze applicatie zijn berekend — de consensus van de hogere luchtlagen, de frontanalyse, de risicovensters, de dagelijkse blend, het contrast tussen runs en de normalen van De Bilt — elk met zijn eenheid en de module die het produceerde. De toelichting wordt bij elke herbouw uit die payload geschreven door een deterministisch sjabloon. Waar een Mistral-sleutel is geconfigureerd, worden dezelfde payload en dat concept naar Mistral gestuurd om te herformuleren, en het antwoord wordt alleen geaccepteerd als elk cijfer erin overeenkomt met een payloadwaarde en elk risicowoord er een is dat de payload toestaat; anders blijft het sjabloon staan. Het model wordt pas opnieuw gevraagd wanneer de hash van de payload verandert, en hooguit eens per 15 minuten.","dutch":{"label":"De verwachting voor Zoetermeer","attribution":"Nederlandse tekst van Mistral (mistral-small-latest); alle cijfers zijn hier berekend en zijn vóór publicatie tegen de payload gecontroleerd.","available":false,"model_status":"het Nederlandse antwoord is geweigerd","rejected":["today: names snow, which the English does not"]},"model_status":"het antwoord van het model is geweigerd","rejected":["today: says 'snow' with nothing computed to license it"]},"plain_forecast":{"available":true,"generated_at":"2026-11-03T14:14:12.679238+00:00","method":"Eerst hier geschreven uit de eigen gemengde verwachting van deze site — dezelfde getallen die in de panelen staan — door een deterministisch sjabloon. Waar een Mistral-sleutel is geconfigureerd, wordt dat concept naar Mistral gestuurd om er een lopend publieksbericht van te maken, in de toon waarin een weerdienst het publiek toespreekt. Het antwoord wordt alleen geplaatst als het geen cijfer, gevaar, weekdag of tijdstip toevoegt dat het sjabloon niet al noemt; anders blijft het sjabloon staan.","attribution":"Verwoord als publieksbericht door Mistral (mistral-small-latest); de inhoud komt uit de gemengde nationale modellen en de KNMI-radar-nowcast, en elk cijfer, gevaar en tijdstip is vóór publicatie tegen het sjabloon gecontroleerd. Geen consumentendienst voedt deze.","phrased_by":"mistral","title":{"en":"The weather in Zoetermeer, in plain words","nl":"Het weer in Zoetermeer, gewoon in het kort"},"paragraphs":{"en":["Right now it’s 10°, but it feels more like 6°, and it stays dry for the next couple of hours. By midday, skies turn changeable with highs near 10° — mild conditions. In the evening, expect more of the same with temperatures around 9°, while nights drop to about 6° — chilly. Tomorrow morning starts changeable too, with highs around 8°. Through the afternoon, temperatures hover around 9° and it stays mostly dry."],"nl":["Het is nu 10°, maar het voelt als 6°, en de komende twee uur blijft het droog. Overdag wordt het wisselvallig met maxima rond 10° — zacht weer. ’s Avonds blijft het wisselvallig met temperaturen rond 9°, en ’s nachts daalt het naar zo’n 6° — fris. Morgenochtend start het ook wisselvallig met maxima rond 8°. Overdag blijft het rond 9°, en het blijft grotendeels droog."]},"text":{"en":"Right now it’s 10°, but it feels more like 6°, and it stays dry for the next couple of hours. By midday, skies turn changeable with highs near 10° — mild conditions. In the evening, expect more of the same with temperatures around 9°, while nights drop to about 6° — chilly. Tomorrow morning starts changeable too, with highs around 8°. Through the afternoon, temperatures hover around 9° and it stays mostly dry.","nl":"Het is nu 10°, maar het voelt als 6°, en de komende twee uur blijft het droog. Overdag wordt het wisselvallig met maxima rond 10° — zacht weer. ’s Avonds blijft het wisselvallig met temperaturen rond 9°, en ’s nachts daalt het naar zo’n 6° — fris. Morgenochtend start het ook wisselvallig met maxima rond 8°. Overdag blijft het rond 9°, en het blijft grotendeels droog."},"covers":{"today_blocks":2,"tomorrow_blocks":2,"outlook_days":8},"model_status":"tegen het sjabloon gecontroleerd en geaccepteerd"},"current":{"temperature":10.5,"humidity":84.0,"dew_point":8.1,"wind_speed":5.63,"wind_gust":7.46,"wind_direction":52.7,"pressure_msl":1031.05,"visibility":49500.0,"cloud_cover":100,"rain_1h":0.0,"rain_24h":2.39667,"sunshine_minutes":0.0,"solar_radiation":86.0,"temp_grass":10.5,"weather_code":2.0,"observed_at":"2026-11-03T14:00:00Z","weather_text":"licht bewolkt","rain_rate_radar":0.0,"cloud_base":747.6803,"feels_like":6.1,"beaufort":4,"wind_compass":"NE","visibility_km":49.5,"cloud_cover_okta":8.0,"european_aqi":12.0,"city_temperature":11.0,"city_stations":331,"heat_island":0.5,"sources":{"temperature":"KNMI Voorschoten (9.9 km)","humidity":"KNMI Voorschoten (9.9 km)","dew_point":"KNMI Voorschoten (9.9 km)","wind_speed":"KNMI Voorschoten (9.9 km)","wind_gust":"KNMI Voorschoten (9.9 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IFS","valid_at":1793923200,"valid_iso":"2026-11-06T00:00:00Z","step_hours":72,"variable":"gh_500","series":[{"run":"20261103T00:00Z","value":5712.2},{"run":"20261102T18:00Z","value":5706.7},{"run":"20261102T12:00Z","value":5718.4},{"run":"20261102T06:00Z","value":5696.1}],"runs":4,"spread":9.46,"drift":16.1},{"model":"ecmwf_ifs","label":"ECMWF IFS","valid_at":1793944800,"valid_iso":"2026-11-06T06:00:00Z","step_hours":78,"variable":"gh_500","series":[{"run":"20261103T00:00Z","value":5697.4},{"run":"20261102T18:00Z","value":5700.3},{"run":"20261102T12:00Z","value":5710.4},{"run":"20261102T06:00Z","value":5688.6}],"runs":4,"spread":8.99,"drift":8.8},{"model":"ecmwf_ifs","label":"ECMWF IFS","valid_at":1793966400,"valid_iso":"2026-11-06T12:00:00Z","step_hours":84,"variable":"gh_500","series":[{"run":"20261103T00:00Z","value":5696.3},{"run":"20261102T18:00Z","value":5699.6},{"run":"20261102T12:00Z","value":5710.2}],"runs":3,"spread":7.26,"drift":-13.9},{"model":"ecmwf_ifs","label":"ECMWF IFS","valid_at":1793988000,"valid_iso":"2026-11-06T18:00:00Z","step_hours":90,"variable":"gh_500","series":[{"run":"20261103T00:00Z","value":5681.4},{"run":"20261102T18:00Z","value":5686.8}],"runs":2,"spread":3.82,"drift":-5.4}]}},"headline":"CAPE bleef binnen ±26 J/kg over de laatste 4 runs terwijl de modellen deze run ±19 J/kg uiteenliggen — de modellen zijn het nog strakker eens dan de runs. 500 hPa hoogte bleef binnen ±5 m over de laatste 4 runs terwijl de modellen deze run ±2 m uiteenliggen — de modellen zijn het nog strakker eens dan de runs.","method":"De CAPE, CIN, lifted index, dikte, 500 hPa hoogte en 850 hPa temperatuur van elke modelrun worden vastgelegd tegen de eigen runstempel van het model. Voor elke geldigheidstijd die de nieuwste run nog dekt, worden zijn opeenvolgende runs vergeleken (spreiding tussen runs) en naast de onderlinge verschillen van de modellen binnen deze ene run gezet (spreiding tussen modellen). Verschillende signalen, naast elkaar getoond."},"indices":{"pollen":{"species":[{"name":"els","grains_m3":0.0,"band":"geen"},{"name":"berk","grains_m3":0.0,"band":"geen"},{"name":"gras","grains_m3":0.0,"band":"geen"},{"name":"bijvoet","grains_m3":0.0,"band":"geen"},{"name":"olijf","grains_m3":0.0,"band":"geen"},{"name":"ambrosia","grains_m3":0.0,"band":"geen"}],"worst":null,"band":"geen"},"air_quality":{"european_aqi":12.0,"band":"goed","pm2_5":5.127,"pm10":7.811,"no2":18.589,"ozone":30.493},"uv":{"now":0.2,"peak_today":0.6,"band":"laag","burn_minutes_type2":143},"thunderstorm":{"level":0,"text":"Geen onweersignaal in de komende 12 uur.","official_warning":null,"peak_cape":72.0,"cape_source":"computed","cape_computed":72.0,"mu_cape":89.0,"cin":0.0,"lifted_index":6.9,"shear_0_6km":7.6,"lightning_potential":0.0,"strikes_last_hour":0,"strikes_within_25km":0,"nearest_strike":null},"frost":{"air_min_24h":5.2,"grass_now":10.5,"risk":false,"air_frost":false},"heat":{"max_24h":10.2,"tropical_night":false,"heat_stress":false},"laundry":{"verdict":"misschien","band":"fair"},"cycling":{"verdict":"ja","band":"good"},"comfort":"koud","aurora":{"possible":false}},"activities":{"available":true,"activities":[{"key":"barbecue","label":"Barbecueën","band":"no","score":0.01,"verdict":"nee — voelt als 5 °C","limited_by":"voelt als 5 °C","best_band":"no","best_score":0.04,"window":null,"window_hours":24,"daylight_only":false,"method":"droog, weinig wind en 14 °C of beter; houtskool en windstoten gaan niet samen, dus 5 m/s telt al tegen"},{"key":"fishing","label":"Vissen","band":"good","score":0.87,"verdict":"nu goed","limited_by":"windstoten 9 m/s","best_band":"good","best_score":1.0,"window":{"from":"16:00","to":"16:00","day":"dinsdag","hours":24,"starts_in_hours":1},"window_hours":24,"daylight_only":false,"method":"eerst wind, dan regen: een dobber in golfslag is onleesbaar"},{"key":"walking","label":"Wandelen","band":"good","score":1.0,"verdict":"nu goed","limited_by":"regen 0.0 mm/u","best_band":"good","best_score":1.0,"window":{"from":"16:00","to":"16:00","day":"dinsdag","hours":24,"starts_in_hours":1},"window_hours":24,"daylight_only":false,"method":"regen en windstoten, afgezet tegen de gevoelstemperatuur in plaats van wat de thermometer zegt"},{"key":"running","label":"Hardlopen","band":"good","score":1.0,"verdict":"nu goed","limited_by":"regen 0.0 mm/u","best_band":"good","best_score":1.0,"window":{"from":"16:00","to":"16:00","day":"dinsdag","hours":24,"starts_in_hours":1},"window_hours":24,"daylight_only":false,"method":"hitte is de grens die pijn doet, en vochtige lucht haalt die naar voren: het comfortabele plafond zakt 4 °C bij 100% luchtvochtigheid"},{"key":"terrace","label":"Terras","band":"no","score":0.0,"verdict":"nee — voelt als 5 °C","limited_by":"voelt als 5 °C","best_band":"no","best_score":0.0,"window":null,"window_hours":24,"daylight_only":true,"method":"de enige die zon nodig heeft in plaats van afwezigheid ervan slechts te verdragen: bewolking telt, en beschutting tegen wind ook"},{"key":"sailing","label":"Zeilen","band":"good","score":1.0,"verdict":"nu goed","limited_by":"wind 5 m/s","best_band":"good","best_score":1.0,"window":{"from":"16:00","to":"16:00","day":"dinsdag","hours":11,"starts_in_hours":1},"window_hours":24,"daylight_only":true,"method":"Beaufort 3 tot 5 is het venster; windstilte scoort net zo slecht als harde wind, en windstoten laten je omslaan"},{"key":"skating","label":"Schaatsen","band":"no","verdict":"lang niet genoeg vorst","freezing_degree_days":0.0,"hours_below_zero":0,"coldest":1.7,"horizon_hours":120,"method":"vriesgraaddagen opgeteld over de komende 5 dagen van de blend; 1 voordat er iets vormt, 15 voordat het draagt"}],"method":"Elk uur van de blend krijgt een cijfer van één tegen benoemde drempels, en een activiteit neemt het slechtste van zijn grenzen in plaats van het gemiddelde ervan — een warme, droge, zonnige storm is niet driekwart van een goede middag. De beoordeling is dit uur; het venster is de langste reeks uren die een halve score haalt. Schaatsen wordt in plaats daarvan op vriesgraaddagen beoordeeld, omdat ijs een opeenstapeling is en geen toestand."},"hazard_timeline":{"available":true,"generated_at":"2026-11-03T14:14:12.679238+00:00","hazards":{"thunderstorm":{"windows":[],"through":"2026-11-07T00:00:00Z","steps":14,"method":"CAPE, 0–6 km windschering en de lifted index, gemiddeld over de modellen die op elke stap een profiel hebben, geclassificeerd met de onweerdrempels van app.fusion: lokaal bij CAPE > 500 J/kg of LI ≤ -2, aannemelijk bij > 1200 J/kg of LI ≤ -4, georganiseerd wanneer de windschering ook 15 m/s bereikt."},"frost":{"windows":[{"onset":"2026-11-06T04:00:00Z","onset_after":"2026-11-06T03:00:00Z","peak":"2026-11-06T06:00:00Z","end":"2026-11-06T06:00:00Z","open_ended":false,"severity":"kans op grondvorst","trend":"stabiel","steps":3,"headline":"kans op grondvorst, +3 °C minimum","peak_values":{"low_temp_c":2.8}},{"onset":"2026-11-06T23:00:00Z","onset_after":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","peak":"2026-11-07T07:00:00Z","end":"2026-11-07T08:00:00Z","open_ended":false,"severity":"kans op grondvorst","trend":"eerst toe- dan afnemend","steps":10,"headline":"kans op grondvorst, +2 °C minimum","peak_values":{"low_temp_c":1.7}}],"through":"2026-11-13T14:00:00Z","method":"Gemengde 2 m uurtemperatuur. Kans op grondvorst op of onder 3 °C (gras koelt een paar graden onder de lucht af), luchtvorst op of onder 0 °C."},"heat":{"windows":[],"through":"2026-11-13T14:00:00Z","method":"Gemengde 2 m uurtemperatuur en luchtvochtigheid. Heet op of boven 27 °C; hittestress wanneer de relatieve luchtvochtigheid ook boven 60% is. Een venster wordt gemarkeerd voor een tropische nacht wanneer de volgende nacht op of boven 20 °C blijft."}},"headline":"Geen onweersignaal in het profielvooruitzicht. Kans op grondvorst vrijdag nacht, +3 °C. Geen dagen met hittestress binnen bereik.","method":"Per risico een lijst vensters met begin, piek, einde, ernst en de waarde die de drempel overschreed. Drempels zijn dezelfde benoemde constanten die de nu-beoordeling gebruikt (app.fusion). Instabiliteit is app.thermo uitgevoerd op elke profielstap die de ECMWF-, GFS- en ICON-runs publiceerden, niet alleen de analyse; vorst en hitte draaien op de gemengde 2 m uurtemperatuur. 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Valid Until: 2026 Nov 01 2359 UTC\nWarning Condition: Persistence\n\r\n\r\nNOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at\r\nwww.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation\r\n\r\nPotential Impact","product":"K04W"},{"issued":"2026-11-01 13:02:29.493","message":"Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3\r\nSerial Number: 3763\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Nov 01 1302 UTC\r\n\r\nALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1,000pfu \nThreshold Reached: 2026 Nov 01 1302 UTC\nStation: GOES-19\nComment:","product":"EF3A"},{"issued":"2026-11-01 01:17:17.120","message":"Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05\r\nSerial Number: 2060\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Nov 01 0117 UTC\r\n\r\nALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 \nThreshold Reached: 2026 Nov 01 0117 UTC\nSynoptic Period: 0000-0300\nActive Warning: YES\nNoaa Scale: G1 - Minor\nComment: \r\n\r\nNOAA Scale: G1 - Minor\r\n\r\nNOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at\r\nwww.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation\r\n\r\nPotential Impacts: Area 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A","product":"K06A"},{"issued":"2026-10-31 19:08:30.750","message":"Space Weather Message Code: WARK06\r\nSerial Number: 673\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Oct 31 1908 UTC\r\n\r\nWARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 6 expected \nValid From: 2026 Oct 31 1908 UTC\nValid To: 2026 Oct 31 2359 UTC\nWarning Conditions: Onset\nNoaa Scale: G2 - Moderate\nComment: \r\n\r\nNOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate\r\n\r\nNOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at\r\nwww.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation\r\n\r\nPotent","product":"K06W"},{"issued":"2026-10-31 19:07:47.143","message":"Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05\r\nSerial Number: 2059\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Oct 31 1907 UTC\r\n\r\nALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 \nThreshold Reached: 2026 Oct 31 1907 UTC\nSynoptic Period: 1800-2100\nActive Warning: YES\nNoaa Scale: G1 - Minor\nComment: \r\n\r\nNOAA Scale: G1 - Minor\r\n\r\nNOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at\r\nwww.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation\r\n\r\nPotential Impacts: Area o","product":"K05A"},{"issued":"2026-10-31 19:04:48.307","message":"Space Weather Message Code: WARK05\r\nSerial Number: 2273\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Oct 31 1904 UTC\r\n\r\nWARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected \nValid From: 2026 Oct 31 1901 UTC\nValid To: 2026 Oct 31 2359 UTC\nWarning Conditions: Onset\nNoaa Scale: G1 - Minor\nComment: \r\n\r\nNOAA Scale: G1 - Minor\r\n\r\nNOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at\r\nwww.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation\r\n\r\nPotential I","product":"K05W"},{"issued":"2026-10-31 18:47:57.080","message":"Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04\r\nSerial Number: 2696\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Oct 31 1847 UTC\r\n\r\nALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 \nThreshold Reached: 2026 Oct 31 1845 UTC\nSynoptic Period: 1800-2100\nActive Warning: YES\nComment: \r\n\r\nNOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at\r\nwww.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation\r\n\r\nPotential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagn","product":"K04A"},{"issued":"2026-10-31 12:20:48.940","message":"Space Weather Message Code: WARK04\r\nSerial Number: 5445\r\nIssue Time: 2026 Oct 31 1220 UTC\r\n\r\nWARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected \nValid From: 2026 Oct 31 1235 UTC\nValid To: 2026 Nov 01 1500 UTC\nWarning Conditions: Onset\nComment: \r\n\r\nNOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at\r\nwww.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation\r\n\r\nPotential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 d","product":"K04W"}],"source":"NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center"},"lightning":{"connected":true,"last_message_age":0.024642467498779297,"radius_km":250.0,"strikes_last_hour":0,"strikes_last_15min":0,"strikes_within_25km":0,"nearest":null,"dominant_direction":null,"sector_counts":{},"recent":[],"total_seen_worldwide":1913056,"errors":["ws7: SSLCertVerificationError: [SSL: CERTIFICATE_VERIFY_FAILED] certificate verify failed: Hostname mismatch, certificate is not valid for 'ws7.blitzortung.org'. (_ssl.c:1010)","ws7: SSLCertVerificationError: [SSL: CERTIFICATE_VERIFY_FAILED] certificate verify failed: Hostname mismatch, certificate is not valid for 'ws7.blitzortung.org'. (_ssl.c:1010)","ws7: SSLCertVerificationError: [SSL: CERTIFICATE_VERIFY_FAILED] certificate verify failed: Hostname mismatch, certificate is not valid for 'ws7.blitzortung.org'. (_ssl.c:1010)","ws7: SSLCertVerificationError: [SSL: CERTIFICATE_VERIFY_FAILED] certificate verify failed: Hostname mismatch, certificate is not valid for 'ws7.blitzortung.org'. (_ssl.c:1010)","ws7: SSLCertVerificationError: [SSL: CERTIFICATE_VERIFY_FAILED] certificate verify failed: Hostname mismatch, certificate is not valid for 'ws7.blitzortung.org'. 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